The Logic Of Failure: Recognizing And Avoiding Error In Complex Situations
The Logic Of Failure: Recognizing And Avoiding Error In Complex Situations
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失败的逻辑：在复杂情况下识别和避免错误
DOI：
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发表时间：
1997
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
D. Dörner
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
D. Dörner
为什么我们会犯错？无论是在复杂的企业还是日常生活中，失败都有某些常见的错误吗？在这本真正不可或缺的书中，迪特里希·多纳指出了他所说的“失败的逻辑”--我们思维模式中的某些倾向，虽然适用于一个更古老、更简单的世界，但对我们现在生活的复杂世界来说却是灾难性的。他使用富有想象力且往往很搞笑的计算机模拟，分析了灾难的根源，展示了城市规划者正在制造交通拥堵和灾难，或者公共卫生当局正在为饥饿设定场景。失败逻辑是智能计划和决策的指南针，可以磨练经理、政策制定者和每个参与从A点到B点的日常挑战的人的技能。
Why do we make mistakes? Are there certain errors common to failure, whether in a complex enterprise or daily life? In this truly indispensable book, Dietrich Dorner identifies what he calls the "logic of failure"--certain tendencies in our patterns of thought that, while appropriate to an older, simpler world, prove disastrous for the complex world we live in now. Working with imaginative and often hilarious computer simulations, he analyzes the roots of catastrophe, showing city planners in the very act of creating gridlock and disaster, or public health authorities setting the scene for starvation. The Logic of Failure is a compass for intelligent planning and decision-making that can sharpen the skills of managers, policymakers and everyone involved in the daily challenge of getting from point A to point B.