Approaches To the Analysis of Government Expenditure Growth
Approaches To the Analysis of Government Expenditure Growth
复制标题
政府支出增长分析方法
DOI：
10.1177/109114217900700101
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发表时间：
1979
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
J. Wiseman
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
A. Peacock;J. Wiseman
本文综述了有关公共支出增长的文献，并对未来可能的发展提出了一些建议。在理论层面，有人认为公共选择和相关的理论构建通过坚持公共支出增长必须通过公共服务需求者和供给者在确定的技术条件下通过“政治”和“经济”行为的效用最大化行为来解释，从而提高了我们的理解。但是，我们所缺乏的是一种全面的智力结构，它既能包含这些要素，又能为了经验探索的目的而分解这些要素。在对建立经验规律的概念和计量经济学问题进行了评论之后，文章提出了两种潜在的互补方法：通过一般计量经济学层面的因素分析，以及通过发展群体行为模型来“解释”社会群体随时间变化的关系。总结了尝试使用因子分析的初步结果，但作者意识到困难，并对任何一种方法的潜力持谨慎态度。
The article surveys the literature on public expenditure growth, and makes some suggestions for possible future developments. At the theoretical level, it is argued that public choice and associated theoretical constructs have improved our understanding by insisting that public expenditure growth must be explained by the utility-maximizing behavior of the demanders and suppliers of public services in defined technical conditions, through "political" as well as "economic" behaviour. But what we yet lack is a comprehensive intellectual construct capable of embracing these elements, and also of dis aggregation for purposes of empirical enquiry. After a commentary on the conceptual and econometric problems of establishing empirical laws, the article suggests two potentially complementary approaches: through factor analysis at the general econometric level, and through the development of models of group behavior leading to "explanations" in terms of the changing relationships of social groups through time. The tentative results of an attempt to use factor analysis are summarized, but the authors are conscious of the difficulties and cautious about the potential of either approach.