A GIS based operational system for wildland fire crisis management I. Mathematical modelling and simulation
A GIS based operational system for wildland fire crisis management I. Mathematical modelling and simulation
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DOI：
10.1016/j.apm.2003.10.005
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发表时间：
2004-04-01
影响因子：
5
通讯作者：
Bafas, G
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Vakalis, D;Sarimveis, H;Bafas, G
众所周知，可操作的危机系统通过根据现场具体情况和可能的后果提供合理和量化的信息来帮助管理决策。众所周知，森林火灾事件会对从生态角度来看具有最重要意义的地区造成不可弥补的损害。建立一个管理这类事件的业务系统对当局和最终用户具有重要意义。这种有效管理荒地森林火灾的业务系统的最重要组成部分是森林火灾模拟工具。这种模拟工具是基于双重推理开发的;用于估计火灾后果的离散等高线传播模型和用于估计火灾蔓延的模糊/神经系统，作为地形特征、植被类型和密度以及气象条件等影响因素的函数。详细讨论了有关开发这样一个工具的建模和仿真问题。该工具被嵌入到业务系统和估计得出一个典型的希腊山区森林在阿提卡地区[应用数学。28（2004），这个问题]。(C)2003年爱思唯尔公司All rights reserved.
Operational crisis systems are widely known to aid management decisions by providing rational and quantitative information based on the site-specific circumstances and the possible consequences. Forest fire incidents are known to provoke irreparable damage to regions of utmost significance from the ecological point of view. The development of an operational system for managing such incidents is of great significance for the authorities and end-users. The most important component of such an operational system that efficiently manages wildland forest fires is a forest fire simulation tool. Such a simulation tool was developed to be based on two fold reasoning; a discrete contour propagation model for estimating fire consequences and a fuzzy/neural system for the estimation of fire spread as a function of influencing factors such as terrain characteristics, vegetation type and density and meteorological conditions. Modelling and simulation issues regarding the development of such a tool are discussed in detail. The tool was embedded to the operational system and estimations were derived for a typical Greek mountain forest in the region of Attica [Appl. Math. Modell. 28 (2004), this issue]. (C) 2003 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.