Simulation to Aid Disaster Planning and Mitigation: Tools and Techniques for Water Distribution Managers and Emergency Planners
Simulation to Aid Disaster Planning and Mitigation: Tools and Techniques for Water Distribution Managers and Emergency Planners
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DOI：
10.1061/(asce)wr.1943-5452.0000283
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发表时间：
2013-07
影响因子：
3.1
通讯作者：
E. Bristow;K. Brumbelow
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
E. Bristow;K. Brumbelow
社区依赖日益复杂的关键基础设施来满足居民的日常需求和促进应急响应。连锁故障的可能性会加剧灾害的后果，并使有效应急的规划过程复杂化。本文提出了一种方法进行脆弱性分析的基础上模拟水分配的作用，在各种复杂的灾害情况下，在水系统的能力不足，再加上城市火灾的应急响应。这里报告的分析是在一个虚拟的（但详细和现实的）小城镇供水系统，允许坦率地讨论从脆弱性分析得出的见解，并避免披露一个真实的系统的脆弱性。所提出的分析方法可加以调整，以适应真实的社区的需要。这些模拟的结果被用来演示一个程序的设计和测试缓解方法…
AbstractCommunities depend on increasingly complex critical infrastructures to meet residents’ daily needs and to facilitate emergency response. The potential for cascading failures could intensify the consequences of disasters and complicate the process of planning for effective emergency response. This article presents a methodology for conducting a vulnerability analysis based on simulation of water distribution’s role in emergency response under various complex-disaster scenarios in which incapacity of the water system is coupled with an urban fire. The analysis reported here was run on a virtual (but detailed and realistic) small-town water distribution system to permit candid discussion of the insights derived from the vulnerability analysis and to avoid disclosing the vulnerabilities of a real system. The analysis methodology presented may be adapted to fit the needs of real communities. The results of these simulations are used to demonstrate a procedure for designing and testing mitigation method...