Governing climate risks in the face of normative uncertainties
Governing climate risks in the face of normative uncertainties
复制标题
面对规范不确定性的气候风险治理
DOI：
10.1002/wcc.666
复制
发表时间：
2020
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Céline Kermisch
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
B. Taebi;J. Kwakkel;Céline Kermisch
管理风险不仅是一个技术问题，也是一个道德和社会考虑问题。在这篇文章中，我们认为，除了科学和技术的不确定性，我们还需要解决规范的风险决策的不确定性。我们将规范不确定性定义为存在不同的部分道德上可辩护但不相容的选择或行动方案的情况，或者没有完全道德上可辩护的选择的情况。我们概念化规范的不确定性，区分四类进化，理论，概念和认知规范的不确定性。我们将展示气候适应战略中规范不确定性的不同实例。最后，我们提出了两种方法来识别和处理规范的不确定性，即广泛的反射均衡和自适应规划。规范不确定性的情况一直存在并将继续存在于风险决策中，而且往往以隐含的方式处理。在这篇文章中，我们明确了它们，这可能会导致对气候风险做出更好的道德知情和合理的决定。
Governing risks is not only a technical matter, but also a matter of ethical and societal considerations. In this article, we argue that in addition to scientific and technical uncertainties, we need to also address normative uncertainties of risk decisions. We define normative uncertainties as situations where there are different partially morally defensible ‐‐ but incompatible ‐‐ options or courses of action, or ones in which there is no fully morally defensible option. We conceptualize normative uncertainties, distinguishing between the four categories of evolutionary, theoretical, conceptual, and epistemic normative uncertainties. We will show different instances of normative uncertainties in climate adaptation strategies. We finally present two methods for identifying and dealing with normative uncertainties, namely, the Wide Reflective Equilibrium and adaptive planning. Situations of normative uncertainties have always been and will continue to be present in risk decisions and they have often been dealt with in an implicit manner. In this article, we make them explicit, which could lead to better morally informed and justified decisions about climate risks.
影响因子：
9.8
作者：
Chapman, Alexander;Darby, Stephen
通讯作者：
Darby, Stephen