Techniques of event history analysis.

Techniques of event history analysis.
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事件历史分析技术。

DOI:
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发表时间:
1991
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
T. Guinnane
T. Guinnane
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
J. Trussell;T. Guinnane

文献摘要

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鉴于事件历史分析或失效时间模型的新技术的发展,本文用历史人口统计学家熟悉的术语解释了这些模型背后的逻辑。它提供了关于替代模型和标准统计软件的优缺点的实际指导。首先介绍事件历史分析,然后考虑生命表方法的泛化以适应协变量。接下来描述了故障时间模型的备选规范,然后讨论了并发过程非信息审查未观察到的异质性和拟合优度的分析。对德国再婚的分析展示了这些分析技术的力量,以加深对过去人口行为的理解。
Given the development of new techniques of event history analysis or failure time models this paper explains the logic behind these models in terms familiar to historical demographers. It provides practical guidance on the strengths and weaknesses of alternative models and standard statistical software. Event history analysis is 1st introduced followed by consideration for the generalization of life-table methodology to accommodate covariates. Next alternative specifications of failure time models are described followed by discussion of the analysis of concurrent process noninformative censoring unobserved heterogeneity and goodness of fit. An analysis of remarriage in Germany is presented which demonstrates the strength of these analytical techniques to deepen the understanding of past demographic behavior.