Individual Forecasting and Aggregate Outcomes: 'Rational Expectations' Examined

Individual Forecasting and Aggregate Outcomes: 'Rational Expectations' Examined
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个人预测和总体结果:审视“理性预期”

DOI:
10.1017/cbo9780511625763
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发表时间:
1987
期刊:
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
E. Phelps
E. Phelps
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
R. Frydman;E. Phelps

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前言 1. 引言 罗曼·弗里德曼 (Roman Frydman) 和埃德蒙·菲尔普斯 (Edmund S. Phelps) 2. “理性预期”的麻烦和通胀稳定问题 埃德蒙·菲尔普斯 (Edmund S. Phelps) 评论 菲利普·卡根 (Phillip Cagan) 3. 对他人预期的预期以及完全相信的系统性货币政策的过渡性非中性 胡安·卡洛斯·迪·塔塔 (Juan Carlos Di Tata) 评论 克莱夫·布尔 (Clive Bull) 4. 宏观经济模型中理性预期的稳定性 乔治·埃文斯 (George Evans) 评论吉列尔莫·卡尔沃 (Guillermo A. Calvo) 5. 个人理性,去中心化和理性预期假设 Roman Frydman 6. 向理性预期均衡的收敛 Margaret Bray 评论 Roy Radner 7. 无条件预期均衡和理性预期均衡之间的区别 Roman Frydman 8. 关于错误信念和结果均衡 Alan Kirman 评论 Jerry Green 9. 学习和不同期望的均衡理论:一些问题和方法 Robert M. Townsend 评论 John B. Taylor 10.凯恩斯主义、货币主义和理性预期:一些反思和猜想 Axel Leijonhufvud 评论 Frank Hahn 指数。
Preface 1. Introduction Roman Frydman and Edmund S. Phelps 2. The trouble with 'rational expectations' and the problem of inflation stabilization Edmund S. Phelps Comment Phillip Cagan 3. Expectations of others' expectations and the transitional nonneutrality of fully believed systematic monetary policy Juan Carlos Di Tata Comment Clive Bull 4. The stability of rational expectations in macroeconomic models George Evans Comment Guillermo A. Calvo 5. Individual rationality, decentralization, and the rational expectations hypothesis Roman Frydman 6. Convergence to rational expectations equilibrium Margaret Bray Comment Roy Radner 7. A distinction between the unconditional expectational equilibrium and the rational expectations equilibrium Roman Frydman 8. On mistaken beliefs and resultant equilibria Alan Kirman Comment Jerry Green 9. Equilibrium theory with learning and disparate expectations: some issues and methods Robert M. Townsend Comment John B. Taylor 10. Keynesianism, monetarism, and rational expectations: some reflections and conjectures Axel Leijonhufvud Comment Frank Hahn Index.