Uncertainty Theory - A Branch of Mathematics for Modeling Human Uncertainty

Uncertainty Theory - A Branch of Mathematics for Modeling Human Uncertainty
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DOI:
10.1007/978-3-642-13959-8
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发表时间:
2011-11
期刊:
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影响因子:
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通讯作者:
Baoding Liu
Baoding Liu
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
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作者:
Baoding Liu

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一些信息和知识通常用人类语言表示,如“大约100公里”,“大约39°C”,“大约80公斤”,“低速”,“中年”和“大尺寸”。我们如何理解它们?也许有些人认为它们是主观概率或模糊概念。然而,大量的调查表明,这些不精确的量既不像随机性,也不像模糊性。这一事实提供了发明另一种数学工具的动机,即不确定性理论。
Some information and knowledge are usually represented by human language like “about 100km”, “approximately 39°C”, “roughly 80kg”, “low speed”, “middle age”, and “big size”. How do we understand them? Perhaps some people think that they are subjective probability or they are fuzzy concepts. However, a lot of surveys showed that those imprecise quantities behave neither like randomness nor like fuzziness. This fact provides a motivation to invent another mathematical tool, namely uncertainty theory.