Evaluating a decision analytic approach to climate change adaptation of cultural resources along the Atlantic Coast of the United States
Evaluating a decision analytic approach to climate change adaptation of cultural resources along the Atlantic Coast of the United States
复制标题
评估美国大西洋沿岸文化资源适应气候变化的决策分析方法
DOI：
10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.07.052
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发表时间：
2017
期刊：
影响因子：
7.1
通讯作者：
E. Seekamp
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
S. Fatorić;E. Seekamp
气候变化对沿海文化资源或文化遗产的保护构成了一些最重大的风险。因此，需要进行更多的研究，以促进在不断变化的气候条件下设计和实施可行和透明的文化资源适应战略。在本文中，我们开始探讨文化资源管理者面临的挑战和机遇，因为他们开始在动态的沿海环境中应对气候变化的适应规划。具体而言，我们提供了一个以价值为中心的，决策分析方法，适用于气候适应规划的试点测试中指定的历史街区的屏障岛的海角了望国家海滨，北卡罗来纳州的建筑物。我们提供的描述是独特的文化资源管理者面临的挑战和初步证据的效用，这种类型的方法为通知的判断，提出前和研讨会后的调查数据。虽然额外的研究对于提供规划和政策指导至关重要，但我们发现，关于文化资源适应规划的结构化审议不仅影响了参与者的意见，而且为更好地理解气候和预算不确定性的复杂性提供了必要的空间。我们的评估是记录文化资源管理者必须解决的困难和价值决定的第一步，因为财政限制和即将到来的气候影响威胁到传统的永久保护方法。
Climate change poses some of the most significant risks for the preservation of coastal cultural resources or cultural heritage. As a result, more research is needed to facilitate the design and implementation of feasible and transparent adaptation strategies for cultural resources under changing climate conditions. In this paper, we begin to explore the challenges and opportunities that face cultural resource managers as they begin to grapple with climate change adaptation planning in dynamic coastal environments. Specifically, we provide an overview of a value-focused, decision-analytic approach that was applied in a pilot test of climate adaptation planning for buildings within designated historic districts on the barrier islands of Cape Lookout National Seashore, North Carolina. We provide descriptions of the challenges that are uniquely facing cultural resource managers and initial evidence of the utility of this type of approach for informing judgments by presenting pre- and post-workshop survey data. Although additional research is critical to offer planning and policy guidance, we found that structured deliberations about cultural resource adaptation planning not only influenced participants’ opinions but also provided a necessary space to better understand the complexities of climate and budget uncertainties. Our evaluation is a first step at documenting the difficult and value-laden decisions that must be addressed by cultural resource managers as fiscal constraints and impending climate impacts threaten the traditional approach of preservation in perpetuity.