The Cost of Canine Rabies on Four Continents
The Cost of Canine Rabies on Four Continents
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DOI：
10.1111/tbed.12168
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发表时间：
2015-08-01
影响因子：
4.3
通讯作者：
Shwiff, S. A.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Anderson, A.;Shwiff, S. A.
我们估计了狂犬病对拉丁美洲、非洲和亚洲的经济影响。对狂犬病暴露后预防、犬疫苗接种和控制、狂犬病诊断检测和牛死亡相关费用的直接和间接费用进行了核算。根据以前根据人口增长作出的估计，对人类死亡人数进行了更新，并纳入了与人类死亡风险有关的费用。我们使用蒙特卡罗模拟解释了与参数估计相关的不确定性，并估计全球犬狂犬病负担约为每年1240亿美元。这一结果表明，如果犬狂犬病被消灭，可以实现的潜在利益，并提供了一个重要的基准，任何潜在的消除运动的成本可以进行比较。
We estimated the economic impacts of canine rabies in Latin America, Africa and Asia. Direct and indirect costs of rabies post-exposure prophylaxis, dog vaccination and control, rabies diagnostic testing and cattle mortality-related costs were accounted for. The number of human deaths was updated from previous estimates based on population growth, and the costs associated with the risk of human mortality were incorporated. We accounted for uncertainty associated with the parameter estimates using a Monte Carlo simulation and estimated that the global burden of canine rabies is approximately $124 billion annually. This result illustrates the potential benefits that could be realized if canine rabies was eliminated and provides an important benchmark against which the cost of any potential elimination campaign can be compared.