Há evidências de desindustrialização no Brasil
Há evidências de desindustrialização no Brasil
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巴西
DOI：
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发表时间：
2008
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通讯作者：
André Nassif
中科院分区：
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作者：
André Nassif
巴西是否存在去工业化的迹象？本文旨在分析去工业化的理论概念，并评估巴西在20世纪90年代实施经济改革后是否患上了“新荷兰病”。尽管制造业在巴西国内生产总值中所占比例下降，但经验证据表明，自1980年代中期至2005年底经济结构的变化不应被描述为去工业化。由于既没有证据表明资源向以自然资源为基础的产业的普遍重新分配，也没有证据表明技术上以自然资源甚至劳动力为基础的商品的出口专业化模式，因此不能得出巴西感染了“新荷兰病”的结论。
Are There evidences of deindustrialization in Brazil? This paper aims at analyzing the theoretical concept of deindustrialization, and evaluating if Brazil, following the implementation of economic reforms in the 1990´s, has suffered from a “new Dutch disease”. Despite the manufacturing sector declining participation in the Brazilian Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the empirical evidence show that the changes in the economy structure since the mid-1980’s to the end of 2005 should not be described as deindustrialization. Since there was not evidence of either generalized reallocation of resources towards industries based on natural resources, or a pattern of export specialization in goods technologically based on natural resources or even on labor, one cannot conclude that Brazil was infected by a “new Dutch disease”.