Enhancing the Practical Utility of Risk Assessments in Climate Change Adaptation
Enhancing the Practical Utility of Risk Assessments in Climate Change Adaptation
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DOI：
10.3390/su10051399
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发表时间：
2018-05-01
期刊：
影响因子：
3.9
通讯作者：
Hincks, Stephen
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Connelly, Angela;Carter, Jeremy;Hincks, Stephen
2012年，政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)从脆弱性转变为基于风险的气候变化适应概念。然而，将这一方法转化为气候变化适应实践的工作例子很少，以证明采用基于风险的方法适应气候变化的实际效用。这篇论文批判性地探讨了与灾害风险管理和气候变化适应有关的文献中关于脆弱性和风险的不同概念。在这方面，该文件还审查了一些侧重于空间的气候变化脆弱性和风险评估方法。在这样做的过程中，我们确定了空间数据的可用性问题，以便能够进行基于空间风险的气候变化评估。我们认为，风险的概念可能有利于帮助城市理解气候变化带来的挑战，确定适应方案，并建立对不断变化的气候的适应能力。然而，我们建议，如果要将基于风险的概念纳入气候变化适应活动，就需要以从业者和政策制定者参与这些概念的方式进行改变。
In 2012, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) moved from a vulnerability to a risk-based conception of climate change adaptation. However, there are few examples of work that translates this approach into climate change adaptation practice, in order to demonstrate the practical utility of following a risk-based approach to adapting to climate change. The paper explores critically the differing conceptions of vulnerability and risk across the literature relating to disaster risk management and climate change adaptation. The paper also examines a selection of spatially focused climate change vulnerability and risk assessment methodologies in this context. In doing so, we identify issues with the availability of spatial data to enable spatial risk-based climate change assessments. We argue that the concept of risk is potentially favorable in helping cities to understand the challenges posed by climate change, identify adaptation options, and build resilience to the changing climate. However, we suggest that change is needed in the way that practitioners and policymakers engage with risk-based concepts if they are to be embed into climate change adaptation activities.