Observation System Experiments with the Hourly-Updating Rapid Refresh (RAP) Model Using GSI Hybrid Ensemble/Variational Data Assimilation
Observation System Experiments with the Hourly-Updating Rapid Refresh (RAP) Model Using GSI Hybrid Ensemble/Variational Data Assimilation
复制标题
使用 GSI 混合集成/变分数据同化的每小时更新快速刷新 (RAP) 模型的观测系统实验
DOI:
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发表时间:
2017
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通讯作者:
Stanley G. Benjamin
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文献类型:
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作者:
Eric P. James;Stanley G. Benjamin
AbstractA set of observation system experiments (OSEs) over three seasons using the hourly updated Rapid Refresh (RAP) numerical weather prediction (NWP) assimilation–forecast system identifies the importance of the various components of the North American observing system for 3–12-h RAP forecasts. Aircraft observations emerge as the strongest-impact observation type for wind, relative humidity (RH), and temperature forecasts, permitting a 15%–30% reduction in 6-h forecast error in the troposphere and lower stratosphere. Major positive impacts are also seen from rawinsondes, GOES satellite cloud observations, and surface observations, with lesser but still significant impacts from GPS precipitable water (PW) observations, satellite atmospheric motion vectors (AMVs), and radar reflectivity observations. A separate experiment revealed that the aircraft-related RH forecast improvement was augmented by 50% due specifically to the addition of aircraft moisture observations. Additionally, observations from en r...