The Long Term Impact of Flooding on Residential Property Values

The Long Term Impact of Flooding on Residential Property Values
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洪水对住宅房产价值的长期影响

DOI:
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发表时间:
2002
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
C. Eves
C. Eves
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
C. Eves

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澳大利亚目前的规划方案确定了可能发生洪水的地区。这种易受洪水影响的土地的确定是基于一段时间内的洪水高度水平。在整个新南威尔士州,这种洪水影响的衡量标准是由三种分类确定的。这些分类也影响了这些洪水区内住宅物业的发展。在进行全面业权查册时,准买家会被告知此防洪分区。然而,由于这些房产通常位于洪泛平原上,而不是在河流的视线范围内,洪水在不知情的买家看来可能显得遥不可及。这项研究将分析洪水易发地区的住宅销售情况,并将这些住宅的价格变动与不受洪水影响的紧邻地区的类似住宅进行比较。分析将涵盖1984年至1998年期间。这一时期包括1988年悉尼最后一次大洪水。本研究期间将确定大洪水对住宅价格的影响,以及这种影响是持续的还是随着该地区无洪水时间的延长而减少。
Current planning schemes in Australia identify areas that are potentially flood liable. This identification of flood liable land is based on flood height levels over time. Throughout New South Wales this measure of flood affectation is determined by three classifications. These classifications also influence the development of residential property within these flood areas. Prospective purchasers are advised of this flood zoning when a full title search is carried out. However, as these properties are often located on the flood plain, and not within sight of the river, flooding can appear visually remote to the uninformed buyer. This study will analyse residential house sales in flood prone areas and compare price movements of these houses to similar houses in immediate adjoining areas that are not effected by flooding. The analysis will cover the period of 1984 to 1998. This period includes the last major floods in Sydney during 1988. This study period will determine what impact a major flood has on residential housing prices and whether this effect is on-going or decreases the longer the area is flood free.