Bayesian Networks and participatory modelling in water resource management
Bayesian Networks and participatory modelling in water resource management
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DOI：
10.1016/j.envsoft.2006.06.003
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发表时间：
2007-08-01
影响因子：
4.9
通讯作者：
Soncini-Sessa, R.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Castelletti, A.;Soncini-Sessa, R.
贝叶斯网络 (Bns) 正在成为水资源管理领域建模和支持决策的有效方法。基于交互图与概率模型的耦合，它们有可能提高参与度并允许与其他模型集成。即用型软件的广泛使用进一步促进了 Bn 模型的传播，通过这些软件可以在 PC 上轻松设计和实现 Bn 模型。尽管有许多论文研究了 Bns 在与水相关的问题中的应用，但这些作品大多数使用 Bn 语义来建模整个水系统，因此没有讨论它们与其他类型模型的集成。本文分析了采用 Bns 进行水资源规划和管理的一些利弊，在参与式和综合规划程序的背景下构建了 Bns 的使用，并探讨了如何将它们与其他类型的模型相结合。 (c) 2006 Elsevier Ltd. 保留所有权利。
Bayesian Networks (Bns) are emerging as a valid approach for modelling and supporting decision making in the field of water resource management. Based on the coupling of an interaction graph to a probabilistic model, they have the potential to improve participation and allow integration with other models. The wide availability of ready-to-use software with which Bn models can be easily designed and implemented on a PC is further contributing to their spread. Although a number of papers are available in which the application of Bns to water-related problems is investigated, the majority of these works use the Bn semantics to model the whole water system, and thus do not discuss their integration with other types of model. In this paper some pros and cons of adopting Bns for water resource planning and management are analyzed by framing their use within the context of a participatory and integrated planning procedure, and exploring how they can be integrated with other types of models. (c) 2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.