Areal interpolation and the UK's referendum on EU membership

Areal interpolation and the UK's referendum on EU membership
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面积插值和英国脱欧公投

DOI:
10.1080/17457289.2017.1287081
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发表时间:
2017
期刊:
Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Chris Hanretty
Chris Hanretty
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
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作者:
Chris Hanretty

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摘要 我展示了如何通过使用包含来自较低级别地理区域的人口信息的缩放泊松回归模型,将英国脱欧公投的结果从地方当局级别重新映射到议会选区级别。我用这些估计来展示第二次公投请愿书签名的地理分布如何与选区在实际公投中的投票方式密切相关。
ABSTRACT I show how results from the United Kingdom's referendum on membership of the European Union can be remapped from local authority level to parliamentary constituency level through the use of a scaled Poisson regression model which incorporates demographic information from lower level geographies. I use these estimates to show how the geographic distribution of signatures to a petition for a second referendum was strongly associated with how constituencies voted in the actual referendum.
威斯敏斯特系统中的二元表示
DOI: 10.1111/lsq.12148
发表时间: 2016
影响因子: 1.5
作者:
Hanretty C
通讯作者: Hanretty C