A framework for assessing the economic impacts of Arctic change
A framework for assessing the economic impacts of Arctic change
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DOI：
10.1007/s13280-019-01211-z
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发表时间：
2020-02-01
期刊：
影响因子：
6.5
通讯作者：
Whiteman, Gail
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Alvarez, Jimena;Yumashev, Dmitry;Whiteman, Gail
关于气候变化驱动的北极地区物理变化的科学文献很多。此外，对北极与世界其他地区之间的物理反馈和遥相关性的新认识表明，北极地区的变暖可能会造成远远超出该地区本身的影响。然而，关于北极变化如何影响全球经济和个别行业的研究有限。我们认为，迫切需要对这一主题进行更多的研究，并提出了一个概念框架，以指导未来的研究，评估北极变化的区域和全球经济影响，包括可能的利益和成本。我们强调跨学科方法的重要性，其中包括自然科学，经济学和社会科学的整合，以及与广泛的利益攸关方的接触，以更好地了解和管理北极变化的影响。
The scientific literature on physical changes in the Arctic region driven by climate change is extensive. In addition, the emerging understanding of physical feedbacks and teleconnections between the Arctic and the rest of the world suggests that the warming in the Arctic region is likely to cause impacts that extend well beyond the region itself. However, there is only limited research on how Arctic change may affect economies and individual industry sectors around the world. We argue that there is a pressing need for more research on this topic and present a conceptual framework to guide future research for assessing the regional and global economic impacts of Arctic change, including both possible benefits and costs. We stress on the importance of a transdisciplinary approach, which includes an integration of the natural sciences, economics and social sciences, as well as engagement with a wide range of stakeholders to better understand and manage the implications of Arctic change.