Aims, challenges and progress of the Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Experiment (HEPEX) following the third HEPEX workshop held in Stresa 27 to 29 June 2007
Aims, challenges and progress of the Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Experiment (HEPEX) following the third HEPEX workshop held in Stresa 27 to 29 June 2007
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DOI：
10.1002/asl.168
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发表时间：
2008-04
影响因子：
3
通讯作者：
J. Thielen;J. Schaake;R. Hartman;R. Buizza
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
J. Thielen;J. Schaake;R. Hartman;R. Buizza
几年来，天气预报的用户已经开始意识到量化与预报相关的不确定性而不是依赖于单值预报的好处。与此同时，水文学家和水资源管理人员已经开始探索集合预报系统（EPS）在水文应用中的潜在效益。水文包围预测实验（HEPEX）是一个国际项目，旨在促进概率水文预报和相应的决策工具的发展。自2004年以来，HEPEX为参与预报系统开发、测试和业务管理的水文和气象科学家以及最终用户提供了讨论机会。版权所有© 2008皇家气象学会
Since several years, users of weather forecasts have begun to realize the benefit of quantifying the uncertainty associated with forecasts rather than relying on single value forecasts. At the same time, hydrologists and water managers have begun to explore the potential benefit of ensemble prediction systems (EPS) for hydrological applications. The Hydrologic Ensemble Prediction Experiment (HEPEX) is an international project that aims to foster the development of probabilistic hydrological forecasting and corresponding decision making tools. Since 2004, HEPEX has provided discussion opportunities for hydrological and meteorological scientists involved in the development, testing, and operational management of forecasting systems, and end users. Copyright © 2008 Royal Meteorological Society