Relations between violence, calendar events and ambient conditions
Relations between violence, calendar events and ambient conditions
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DOI：
10.1016/s0020-1383(03)00241-9
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发表时间：
2004-05-01
影响因子：
2.5
通讯作者：
Shepherd, J
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Sivarajasingam, V;Corcoran, J;Shepherd, J
国家攻击性伤害监测已经确定了主要的季节性变化，但尚不清楚攻击性伤害在大城市是否是一个季节性问题。社区暴力，日历事件和环境条件之间的关系进行了调查，参考前瞻性的，事故和紧急情况（A&E）的衍生信息，从人受伤的攻击在卡迪夫1995年5月1日至2000年4月30日。每日当地环境条件的记录，包括有关温度，降雨量和日照时数的数据和数据的主要当地体育赛事和年度假期进行了研究。Pearson相关系数用于评估变量之间的关联。总体而言，在5年期间确定了19，264例与袭击有关的A&E就诊。几乎四分之三是伴侣。暴力事件主要集中在星期六和星期日、新年和国际橄榄球日。气温、降雨量、日照时数与暴力发生无显著相关性（P > 0.05）。调查结果表明，在已知的暴力风险时期，应加强减少伤害的努力，在首都/区域中心，不能根据环境条件预测暴力。(C)2003 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。
National assault injury surveillance has identified major seasonal variation, but it is not clear whether assault injury is a seasonal problem in large cities. Relationships between community violence, calendar events and ambient conditions were investigated with reference to prospective, Accident and Emergency (A&E) derived information obtained from people injured in assaults in Cardiff between 1 May 1995 and 30 April 2000. Records of daily local ambient conditions included data relating to temperature, rainfall and sunshine hours and data of major local sporting events and annual holidays were studied. Pearson correlation coefficients were used to evaluate associations between variables. Overall, 19,264 assault-related A&E attendances were identified over the 5-year period. Almost three-quarters were mates. Violence was clustered predominantly on Saturdays and Sundays, New Year and rugby international days. Temperature, rainfall and sunlight hours did not correlate significantly with violence (P > 0.05). The findings indicate that injury reduction effort should be intensified at the known risk times for violence and that in a capital city/ regional centre violence cannot be predicted on the basis of ambient conditions. (C) 2003 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.