A multicenter, double-blinded validation study of methylation biomarkers for progression prediction in Barrett's esophagus.
A multicenter, double-blinded validation study of methylation biomarkers for progression prediction in Barrett's esophagus.
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DOI:
10.1158/0008-5472.can-09-0028
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发表时间:
2009-05-15
期刊:
影响因子:
11.2
通讯作者:
Meltzer SJ
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Jin Z;Cheng Y;Gu W;Zheng Y;Sato F;Mori Y;Olaru AV;Paun BC;Yang J;Kan T;Ito T;Hamilton JP;Selaru FM;Agarwal R;David S;Abraham JM;Wolfsen HC;Wallace MB;Shaheen NJ;Washington K;Wang J;Canto MI;Bhattacharyya A;Nelson MA;Wagner PD;Romero Y;Wang KK;Feng Z;Sampliner RE;Meltzer SJ
Esophageal adenocarcinoma risk in Barrett’s esophagus (BE) is increased 30- to 125-fold versus the general population. Among all BE patients, however, neoplastic progression occurs only once per 200 patient-years. Molecular biomarkers are therefore needed to risk-stratify patients for more efficient surveillance endoscopy and to improve the early detection of progression. We therefore performed a retrospective, multicenter, double-blinded validation study of 8 BE progression prediction methylation biomarkers. Progression or nonprogression were determined at 2 years (tier 1) and 4 years (tier 2). Methylation was assayed in 145 nonprogressors (NPs) and 50 progressors (Ps) using real-time quantitative methylation-specific PCR. Ps were significantly older than NPs (70.6 vs. 62.5 years, p < 0.001). We evaluated a linear combination of the 8 markers, using coefficients from a multivariate logistic regression analysis. Areas under the ROC curve (AUCs) were high in the 2-, 4-year and combined data models (0.843, 0.829 and 0.840; p<0.001, p<0.001 and p<0.001, respectively). In addition, even after rigorous overfitting correction, the incremental AUCs contributed by panels based on the 8 markers plus age vs. age alone were substantial (Δ-AUC = 0.152, 0.114 and 0.118, respectively) in all three models. A methylation biomarker-based panel to predict neoplastic progression in BE has potential clinical value in improving both the efficiency of surveillance endoscopy and the early detection of neoplasia.