The energy transition in rural China

The energy transition in rural China
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DOI:
10.1504/ijgei.2004.004691
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发表时间:
2004-09
影响因子:
0.7
通讯作者:
Leiwen Jiang;B. O’Neill
Leiwen Jiang;B. O’Neill
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
Leiwen Jiang;B. O’Neill

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基于对一项具有全国代表性的农村家庭调查以及各种综合统计数据来源的分析,我们在能源转型的概念框架内探究中国农村居民能源使用的模式。我们发现,由于获取不同能源的途径、价格、气候、收入以及城市化水平存在差异,居民能源消费在不同地理区域之间存在巨大差异。家庭人口特征,尤其是家庭规模,对居民能源使用具有重要影响。综合时间序列数据显示,从生物质能向现代商业能源的转型仍处于早期阶段,而横截面数据表明,收入可能必须大幅提高,生物质能的绝对使用量才会下降。我们还发现,作为净收入(而非总支出)的函数的能源使用模式,与中国农村的能源转型模型更为契合。
Based on an analysis of a nationally representative rural household survey and various sources of aggregate statistics, we explore patterns of residential energy use in rural China within the conceptual framework of the energy transition. We find that residential energy consumption varies tremendously across geographic regions due to disparities of access to different energy sources, prices, climate, income and urbanisation level. Household demographic characteristics, in particular household size, have an important impact on residential energy use. Aggregate time series data show that the transition from biomass to modern commercial sources is still at an early stage, and cross-sectional data suggest that incomes may have to rise substantially in order for absolute biomass use to fall. We also find that energy use patterns as a function of net income, rather than total expenditure, are more consistent with the energy transition model in rural China.