Are the military expenditures of India and Pakistan external determinants for each other: An empirical investigation
Are the military expenditures of India and Pakistan external determinants for each other: An empirical investigation
复制标题
印度和巴基斯坦的军费开支是否是彼此的外部决定因素：一项实证调查
DOI：
10.1080/10242690302917
复制
发表时间：
2003
影响因子：
1.6
通讯作者：
Nadir Öcal
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Nadir Öcal
印度和巴基斯坦之间的军备竞赛的实证建模一直是许多研究的兴趣焦点。然而，在这些研究中，所讨论的变量之间的不对称动态的可能性似乎被忽略了。本文的目的是填补这一空白的早期文献，审查印度和巴基斯坦的军事支出可能对对方的不对称影响。据推测，不对称是由于存在两个不同的制度特征的变量的兴趣，与制度转变是一个函数的依赖或外生变量的过去值。研究中采用了非线性模型的平滑过渡类。对巴基斯坦的研究结果表明，当巴基斯坦过去的军费开支较高时，印度的军费开支对巴基斯坦的影响更深，这意味着两个变量之间的关系是不对称的。
Empirical modeling of arms race between India and Pakistan has been a focus of interest in many studies. Nevertheless, the possibility of asymmetric dynamics between the variables under question seems to be ignored in these studies. The purpose of this paper is to fill this gap of the earlier literature by examining possible asymmetric effects of military expenditures of India and Pakistan on each other. It is assumed that asymmetry is due to the existence of two distinct regimes characterizing the variable of interest, with regime shift being a function of either a past value of the dependent or an exogenous variable. Smooth transition class of nonlinear models is used in the study. The results for Pakistan indicate that India's military expenditure have more deep effects when the past military expenditure of Pakistan is high, implying asymmetric relationship between the two variables.