Influence of cohort effects on patterns of suicide in England and Wales, 1950-1999
Influence of cohort effects on patterns of suicide in England and Wales, 1950-1999
复制标题
DOI：
10.1192/bjp.182.2.164
复制
发表时间：
2003-02-01
影响因子：
10.5
通讯作者：
Frankel, S
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Gunnell, D;Middleton, N;Frankel, S
背景 自 1950 年以来，英格兰和威尔士的年龄和性别特定自杀率发生了很大变化。目的 评估队列效应是否是其中某些变化的基础。方法 以图形方式显示，评估 1950-1999 年期间年龄组-队列对自杀的影响。结果 1940 年之后出生的连续男性出生队列随着年龄的增长，自杀风险比他们的前辈更大，尽管这种影响在 1975 年和 1975 年有所减弱， 1980 年出生的队列。目前还没有明确的证据表明战后出生的女性自杀风险有所增加。 结论 战后出生的几代男性在各个年龄段的自杀率都在上升，这一观察结果与其他国家的模式一致。 If these trends continue into middle- and old-age they will lead to a great increase in over-all male suicide rates.
Background Age- and gender-specific suicide rates in England and Wales have changed considerably since 1950.Aims To assess whether cohort effects underlie some of these changes.Method Graphical displays to assess age- period-cohort effects on suicide for the period 1950-1999.Results Successive male birth cohorts born after 1940 carried with them, as they aged, a greater risk of suicide than their predecessors although this effect diminished for the 1975 and 1980 birth cohorts. There was less clear evidence of any increased riskof suicide in post-war female birth cohorts.Conclusions Succeeding generations of males born in the post-war years have experienced increasing rates of suicide at all ages, an observation in keeping with patterns seen in other countries. If these trends continue into middle- and old-age they will lead to a great increase in over-all male suicide rates.