Prospect Theory as Efficient Perceptual Distortion

Prospect Theory as Efficient Perceptual Distortion
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作为有效知觉扭曲的前景理论

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发表时间:
2012
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通讯作者:
M. Woodford
M. Woodford
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作者:
M. Woodford

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该论文提出了一种有效的感知扭曲理论,其中主观感知与客观状态之间的统计关系在信息处理能力的约束下最大限度地减少了状态估计的误差。该理论被证明可以解释观察到的视觉感知准确性的限制,然后假设也适用于经济选择情况下的选项感知。当应用于彩票之间的选择时,它意味着依赖于参考的估值,并预测与收益有关的风险厌恶和与损失有关的风险寻求,正如卡尼曼和特沃斯基(1979)的前景理论中那样。
The paper proposes a theory of efficient perceptual distortions, in which the statistical relation between subjective perceptions and the objective state minimizes the error of the state estimate, subject to a constraint on information processing capacity. The theory is shown to account for observed limits to the accuracy of visual perception, and then postulated to apply to perception of options in economic choice situations as well. When applied to choice between lotteries, it implies reference-dependent valuations, and predicts both risk-aversion with respect to gains and risk-seeking with respect to losses, as in the prospect theory of Kahneman and Tversky (1979).