Evaluation of Uncertainties and Risks in Geology
Evaluation of Uncertainties and Risks in Geology
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DOI：
10.1007/978-3-662-07138-0
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发表时间：
2004-01
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
G. Bárdossy;J. Fodor;G. Bárdossy
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
G. Bárdossy;J. Fodor;G. Bárdossy
高度的不确定性是地质调查的标志，比如寻找石油、钻石和铀。因此，与地质相关的商业投资，如矿产勘探和采矿，自然比传统的工业和经济创业风险更高。还有一些危险的自然灾害，如地震、火山活动和洪水，都是地质作用的直接结果。研究它们，描述它们，了解它们的起源，如果可能的话，预测它们，是最重要的。虽然不确定性、地质风险和自然灾害经常在地质教科书、会议论文和文章中被提及，但迄今为止还没有进行过全面和系统的评估。这本书，写在一个适当的复杂水平，以处理这些问题的复杂性，提出了整个问题的详细评估，讨论它从两个方面，地质和数学方面。
High levels of uncertainty are a trademark of geological investigations, such as the search for oil, diamonds, and uranium. So business ventures related to geology, such as mineral exploration and mining, are naturally associated with higher risks than more traditional entrepreneurial ventures in industry and economy. There are also a number of dangerous natural hazards, eg earthquakes, volcanic activities, and inundations, that are the direct result of geological processes. It is of paramount interest to study them all, to describe them, to understand their origin and-if possible-to predict them. While uncertainties, geological risks and natural hazards are often mentioned in geological textbooks, conferences papers, and articles, no comprehensive and systematic evaluation has so far been attempted. This book, written at an appropriately sophisticated level to deal with complexity of these problems, presents a detailed evaluation of the entire problem, discussing it from both, the geological and the mathematical aspects.