The Determinants of Economic Sanctions Success and Failure
The Determinants of Economic Sanctions Success and Failure
复制标题
经济制裁成功与失败的决定因素
DOI：
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发表时间：
2005
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
S. Allen
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
S. Allen
由于没有确定的记录，有关制裁未来效用的问题继续困扰着决策者和学者。从以前的事例来看，成功和失败的制裁都告诉我们很多关于经济胁迫的情况，但失败的原因在很大程度上没有得到充分研究。为了进一步了解制裁的强制性影响，本文所作的分析区分了失败和成功的决定因素。为此，竞争风险事件的历史模型来测试的影响，国内政治制裁的成功以及制裁失败，与强有力的结果表明，政治结构确实影响国家应对经济胁迫的方式。作者要感谢Chris Zorn、Brian Lai、Dan Reiter和Suzanne Werner以及匿名评论者的建设性反馈。本文的早期版本在格鲁吉亚亚特兰大举行的南方政治学协会年会上发表。
With an inconclusive track record, questions about the future utility of sanctions continue to plague policy makers and scholars. Drawing on previous episodes, both successful and failed sanctions tell us a great deal about economic coercion, but the causes of failure have been largely understudied. In order to further understanding of the coercive influence of sanctions, the analysis presented here delineates between the determinants of failure and success. To this end, a competing risks event history model is employed to test the impact that domestic politics have on sanctions success as well as sanctions failure, with strong results suggesting that political structures do affect the way states respond to economic coercion. The author wishes to thank Chris Zorn, Brian Lai, Dan Reiter, and Suzanne Werner as well as the anonymous reviewers for their constructive feedback. An earlier version of this paper was presented at the Annual Meeting of the Southern Political Science Association Meeting, Atlanta, Georgia.