A Global View of Productivity Growth in China
A Global View of Productivity Growth in China
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DOI：
10.1016/j.jinteco.2016.07.007
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发表时间：
2016-09
影响因子：
3.3
通讯作者：
Chang-tai Hsieh;Ralph Ossa
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Chang-tai Hsieh;Ralph Ossa
一个国家的生产率增长如何通过国际贸易影响全球实际收入？在本文中，我们把这个经典的问题带到了数据上，通过测量中国生产率增长的溢出效应。我们首先使用数量贸易模型估计了中国在1995年至2007年间的生产率增长，然后分离出如果中国的生产率发生变化，世界各地的实际收入会发生什么。我们发现，对于我们样本中的所有国家来说，溢出效应都很小，从累积实际收入损失至多−0.2%到累积实际收入收益至多0.2%不等。
How does a country's productivity growth affect worldwide real incomes through international trade? In this paper, we take this classic question to the data by measuring the spillover effects of China's productivity growth. Using a quantitative trade model, we first estimate China's productivity growth between 1995 and 2007 and then isolate what would have happened to real incomes around the world if only China's productivity had changed. We find that the spillover effects are small for all countries in our sample, ranging from a cumulative real income loss of at most −0.2% to a cumulative real income gain of at most 0.2%.