The impact on chinese economic growth and energy consumption of the Global Financial Crisis: An input–output analysis
The impact on chinese economic growth and energy consumption of the Global Financial Crisis: An input–output analysis
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DOI：
10.1016/j.energy.2009.12.035
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发表时间：
2010-04
期刊：
影响因子：
9
通讯作者：
Chaoqing Yuan;Sifeng Liu;Nai-ming Xie
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Chaoqing Yuan;Sifeng Liu;Nai-ming Xie
中国的对外贸易依存度急剧上升，中国经济的外向型特征明显。全球金融危机将对中国经济增长产生巨大影响。中国政府最近采取了一些有效措施来应对全球金融危机。最重要的措施是2008年11月9日宣布的4万亿人民币（5860亿美元）刺激计划。本文运用投入产出分析方法，探讨了全球金融危机对能源消费和经济增长的影响以及应对危机的刺激方案。结果表明，全球金融危机导致的出口下降将导致GDP下降7.33%（国内生产总值）和能源消费减少9.21%;应对全球金融危机的刺激计划将导致经济增长增加4.43%，能源消费增加1.83%;在全球金融危机下，中国单位GDP能耗将下降。
The dependence on foreign trade increased sharply in china, and therefore Chinese economy is obviously export-oriented. The Global Financial Crisis will impact the Chinese economic growth violently. Chinese government has recently adopted some effective measures to fight against the Global Financial Crisis. The most important measure is the 4 trillion Yuan ($586 billion) stimulus plan which was announced on November 9, 2008. This paper discusses the influence on energy consumption and economic growth of Global Financial Crisis and the stimulus plan against it by input–output analysis. The results show that the fall of exports caused by the Global Financial Crisis will lead to a decrease of 7.33% in GDP (Gross Domestic Production) and a reduction of 9.21% in energy consumption; the stimulus plan against the Global Financial Crisis will lead to an increase of 4.43% in economic growth and an increase of 1.83% in energy consumption; In the Global Financial Crisis, energy consumption per unit GDP will fall in China.