Why most conservation monitoring is, but need not be, a waste of time

Why most conservation monitoring is, but need not be, a waste of time
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DOI:
10.1016/j.jenvman.2005.04.016
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发表时间:
2006-01-01
影响因子:
8.7
通讯作者:
Nagy, L
Nagy, L
中科院分区:
环境科学与生态学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Legg, CJ;Nagy, L

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从物种到生态系统,各种组织和空间层面上的生态保护监测计划比比皆是。然而,他们中的许多人在一开始就缺乏目标和假设制定、调查设计、数据质量和统计能力的细节。因此,大多数程序可能无法达到能够以合理的功效拒绝错误的原假设的必要标准。监控不充分的结果会误导其信息质量,并且很危险,因为它们会造成人们认为已经做了一些有用的事情的错觉。我们建议,保护机构和资助监测工作的机构应要求在任何新的监测计划开始时就展示出足够的权力。 (c) 2005 Elsevier Ltd. 保留所有权利。
Ecological conservation monitoring programmes abound at various organisational and spatial levels from species to ecosystem. Many of them suffer, however, from the lack of details of goal and hypothesis formulation, survey design, data quality and statistical power at the start. As a result, most programmes are likely to fail to reach the necessary standard of being capable of rejecting a false null hypothesis with reasonable power. Results from inadequate monitoring are misleading for their information quality and are dangerous because they create the illusion that something useful has been done. We propose that conservation agencies and those funding monitoring work should require the demonstration of adequate power at the outset of any new monitoring scheme. (c) 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.