The Conservative Party Leadership Election of 1997: An Analysis of the Voting Motivations of Conservative Parliamentarians
The Conservative Party Leadership Election of 1997: An Analysis of the Voting Motivations of Conservative Parliamentarians
复制标题
1997年保守党领袖选举：保守派议员投票动机分析
作者：
D. Jeffery;T. Heppell;Andrew Roe
本文考察了1997年保守党党魁选举中保守党议员的投票动机。保守党议员在候选人的政治特征和意识形态倾向之间有明确的选择。他们应该支持一位资深、经验丰富、在选举中有吸引力的候选人肯尼斯·克拉克，还是一位资历较浅、经验不足、在选举中不那么有吸引力的候选人威廉·黑格？他们应该支持社会自由、经济温和、亲欧的克拉克，还是社会保守、经济温和、疑欧的海牙？通过构建一个数据集的保守党议员在最后的党的领导人投票的投票行为，本文试图通过使用双变量分析，测试一系列的假设，有关的政治特征和意识形态倾向的候选人维斯于他们的选民。本文表明，欧洲意识形态分歧的态度本身并不能完全解释克拉克的拒绝和海牙的认可。本文的结论是，意识形态的处置是一个关键的决定因素，投票行为在所有三个后撒切尔保守主义的意识形态决定因素（即社会，性和道德政策划分，经济政策划分和欧洲政策划分）。此外，它证实了意识形态不是投票行为的唯一决定因素;年龄和议会经验的政治特征在解释年轻，缺乏经验的撒切尔主义欧洲怀疑论者如何确保党的领导地位方面具有重要意义。
This paper examines the voting motivations of Conservative parliamentarians in the final ballot of the Conservative Party leadership election of 1997. Conservative parliamentarians had a clear choice between the political characteristics and the ideological disposition of the candidates. Should they endorse a senior, experienced and electorally attractive candidate, Kenneth Clarke, or a junior, inexperienced and less electorally attractive candidate, William Hague? and should they endorse the socially liberal, economic damp, and Europhile Clarke or the socially conservative, economic and Eurosceptic Hague? By constructing a data set of the voting behaviour of Conservative parliamentarians in the final party leadership ballot, this paper seeks, through the use of bivariate analysis, to test a series of hypotheses relating to the political characteristics and ideological disposition of the candidates vis-à-vis their electorate. The paper demonstrates that attitudes to the European ideological divide alone do not fully explain the rejection of Clarke and the endorsement of Hague. The paper concludes that ideological disposition was a key determinant of voting behaviour across all three of the ideological determinants of post-Thatcherite Conservatism (i.e. the social, sexual and morality policy divide, the economic policy divide and the European policy divide). Moreover, it confirms that ideology was not the sole determinant of voting behaviour; the political characteristics of age and parliamentary experience were significant in explaining how a youthful, inexperienced, Thatcherite Eurosceptic secured the party leadership.
性、性别和保守党：从铁娘子到小猫跟鞋
DOI：
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发表时间：
2011
期刊：
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影响因子：
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作者：
Childs S.
通讯作者：
Childs S.