Ageing and the labor market
Ageing and the labor market
复制标题
老龄化和劳动力市场
DOI：
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发表时间：
1991
影响因子：
6.1
通讯作者：
K. Zimmermann
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
K. Zimmermann
代际规模和结构可能会对劳动力市场产生重大影响。这一观点对德国经济至关重要，德国是老龄化速度最快的社会之一。本文研究了相对队列规模和相对队列年龄对失业率的影响。时间序列分析使用协整技术来区分短期和长期发展。计量经济学调查表明，从长期来看，没有足够的证据表明，如果年轻群体的规模相对较高，他们会经历更高的失业率。从短期来看，相对队列规模和相对队列年龄总体上对失业率有积极影响。
Generation size and structure may have substantial effects on the labor market. This perspective is crucial for the German economy which is one of the most rapidly ageing societies. The paper studies the effects of relative cohort size and relative cohort age on unemployment. The time-series analysis employs cointegration techniques to discriminate between short-run and long-run developments. The econometric investigations suggest that in the long-run, there is no sufficient evidence that young cohorts experience higher unemployment rates if their cohort size is relatively high. In the short-run, there is in general a positive impact of relative cohort size and relative cohort age on unemployment.