Modeling Joint Lives within Families

Modeling Joint Lives within Families
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模拟家庭内的共同生活

DOI:
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发表时间:
2020
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
E. Gallic
E. Gallic
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
Olivier Cabrignac;Arthur Charpentier;E. Gallic

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家族史通常被视为保险公司在申请人寿保险时考虑的一个重要因素。在使用它的地方,心血管疾病的家族史,癌症死亡,或高血压和糖尿病的家族史可能导致更高的保费或根本没有保险。在这篇文章中,我们使用大量的(历史)数据来研究家庭内寿命之间的依赖关系。如果说(夫妻之间的)共同人寿合同在精算文献中已经研究了很长时间,那么对子女和父母的依赖关系却知之甚少。我们说明了这些依赖关系,使用19世纪世纪在法国的家谱,并量化影响年金计算。对于父母和孩子来说,我们观察到寿命长短之间存在适度但重要的正相关。在给定父母的信息(如父母在世的人数)的情况下,它会对剩余预期寿命、年金的现值或终身保险担保产生不同的估计。在使用关于祖父母的信息时,观察到类似但较弱的模式。
Family history is usually seen as a significant factor insurance companies look at when applying for a life insurance policy. Where it is used, family history of cardiovascular diseases, death by cancer, or family history of high blood pressure and diabetes could result in higher premiums or no coverage at all. In this article, we use massive (historical) data to study dependencies between life length within families. If joint life contracts (between a husband and a wife) have been long studied in actuarial literature, little is known about child and parents dependencies. We illustrate those dependencies using 19th century family trees in France, and quantify implications in annuities computations. For parents and children, we observe a modest but significant positive association between life lengths. It yields different estimates for remaining life expectancy, present values of annuities, or whole life insurance guarantee, given information about the parents (such as the number of parents alive). A similar but weaker pattern is observed when using information on grandparents.
祖先长寿与成功老龄化的关系。
DOI: 10.1093/geronj/46.6.p292
发表时间: 1991
期刊: Journal of gerontology
影响因子: --
作者:
Vaillant,GE
通讯作者: Vaillant,GE
只是家族病史吗?
DOI: 10.1136/bmj.332.7536.297
发表时间: 2006
期刊: BMJ : British Medical Journal
影响因子: --
作者:
Schmitz D;Wiesing U
通讯作者: Wiesing U