The Determinants of Carbon Emissions in the Chinese Construction Industry: A Spatial Analysis
The Determinants of Carbon Emissions in the Chinese Construction Industry: A Spatial Analysis
复制标题
中国建筑业碳排放的决定因素：空间分析
DOI：
10.3390/su12041428
复制
发表时间：
2020-02-02
期刊：
影响因子：
3.9
通讯作者：
Wang, Miao
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Lu, Na;Feng, Shuyi;Wang, Miao
作为世界上最大的碳排放国，中国面临着减少碳排放的巨大挑战，特别是建筑业。然而，对建筑业碳排放的了解仍然有限。本文从空间溢出效应的角度对中国建筑业碳排放的决定因素进行了研究，为相关文献的研究提供了新的思路。分析使用了2005年至2015年30个省市的面板数据集。我们发现，有一个显着的和积极的空间自相关的碳排放量。局部Moran's I值呈现H-H（高-高）和L-L（低-低）的局部聚集特征。人口密度、经济增长、能源结构和产业结构等指标对碳排放有直接或间接的影响。特别是，我们发现低碳技术创新显著减少了本地和周边地区的碳排放。研究还发现，产业集聚显著增加了当地的碳排放。我们的研究结果表明，中国政府可以通过鼓励低碳技术创新来减少碳排放。同时，我们的研究结果也凸显了当前促进产业集聚的政策对环境的负面影响。
As the largest carbon emitter in the world, China is confronted with great challenges of mitigating carbon emissions, especially from its construction industry. Yet, the understanding of carbon emissions in the construction industry remains limited. As one of the first few attempts, this paper contributes to the literature by identifying the determinants of carbon emissions in the Chinese construction industry from the perspective of spatial spillover effects. A panel dataset of 30 provinces or municipalities from 2005 to 2015 was used for the analysis. We found that there is a significant and positive spatial autocorrelation of carbon emissions. The local Moran’s I showed local agglomeration characteristics of H-H (high-high) and L-L (low-low). The indicators of population density, economic growth, energy structure, and industrial structure had either direct or indirect effects on carbon emissions. In particular, we found that low-carbon technology innovation significantly reduces carbon emissions, both in local and neighboring regions. We also found that the industry agglomeration significantly increases carbon emissions in the local regions. Our results imply that the Chinese government can reduce carbon emissions by encouraging low-carbon technology innovations. Meanwhile, our results also highlight the negative environmental impacts of the current policies to promote industry agglomeration.