Race and the Determinants of Bail, Flight, and Bondsmen's Rates

本项目将通过分析20世纪80年代末和90年代康涅狄格州的保释待遇、逃跑和危险的可能性以及担保人的比率，来研究保释制度的目标和保释中可能存在的偏见。由于保释可能与种族相关，种族可能与一些合法的保释决定因素相关，因此很难确定保释制度中是否存在种族歧视。除非研究人员能够解释影响保释的所有因素，否则研究无法最终确定是否存在歧视。该项目通过直接检查逃跑（和再次被捕）风险的措施，即保释试图控制的结果，避免了这个问题。然后，调查人员将比较逃亡和再次被捕风险的决定因素。该项目还将利用担保费率数据对保释制度进行基于市场的评估。该项目需要数据收集、数据操作和数据分析。数据将从康涅狄格司法部门、康涅狄格保释委员会和康涅狄格州警察局收集。所有这些数据都需要大量的计算机编程才能成为机器可读的。这三组数据还必须汇编成一个单一的、连贯的、适合于研究目的的数据库。然后需要广泛的统计分析来回答研究问题。＊＊＊

9311361 AYERS This project will examine the objectives of the bail system and possible bias in bail by analyzing bail treatment, the likelihood of flight and danger, and bondsmen's rates in Connecticut in the late 1980's and 1990's. It has been difficult to determine whether or not there is race discrimination in the bail system for the reason that bail may be correlated with race because race may be correlated with some legitimate bail determinant. Research cannot conclusively determine whether discrimination is occurring unless the researcher can account for all factors that should affect bail. The project avoids this problem by directly examining measures of flight (and rearrest) risk, the outcome(s) that bail seeks to control. The investigators will then compare the determinants of both flight and rearrest risk. The project will also use data on bondsmen's rates to perform a market-based evaluation of the bail system. The project requires data collection, data manipulation and data analysis. The data will be collected from the Connecticut Judicial Department, the Connecticut Bail Commission and the Connecticut State Police. All of these data will require significant computer programming to become machine readable. The three data sets must also be assembled into a single, coherent data base that will be suitable for the purposes of the study. Extensive statistical analysis will then be required to answer the research questions. ***