How will Pacific climate variability impact Australia in a warming world?

太平洋温度变化的特征是厄尔尼诺和拉尼娜（年与年之间的变化）和年代际太平洋涛动（年代际变化）。这些现象是澳大利亚气温和降雨的主要驱动力。利用新的工具和方法，包括单一模型初始条件大型合奏，该项目将调查这些现象的驱动因素，以及它们在变暖的世界中对澳大利亚的影响。成果包括量化这些气候现象如何调节极端天气事件，以及了解印度洋和大西洋变暖如何影响太平洋地区。这将改善对极端事件的预测，这对于准备应对其影响至关重要。

Temperature variability in the Pacific Ocean is characterised by El Niño and La Niña (year-to-year variations) and the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (decadal variations). These phenomena are primary drivers of Australian temperature and rainfall. Leveraging new tools and methods, including Single Model Initial-Condition Large Ensembles, this project will investigate drivers of these phenomena, and their impacts on Australia in a warming world. Outcomes include the quantification of how these climate phenomena modulate extreme weather events, and an understanding of how Indian and Atlantic Ocean warming affects the Pacific region. This will improve the prediction of extreme events, which is critical for preparation for their impacts.