POWRE: Application of Econometrics and Game Theory to the Study of Democratic Consolidation

这个项目试图理解为什么民主在“最不可能的情况下”生存，为什么它有时会在“最可能的情况下”失败。 该项目的最终结果将是对民主巩固和崩溃有更全面和更科学的理解。 它提供的解释将基于对竞争理论的明确测试，包括重新审视该领域的经典著作，关注最近的学术研究，以及计量经济学和博弈论模型的应用。 对这些理论的实证检验将需要对根据理论考虑选出的代表世界几个地理区域的若干案例进行比较研究。 因此，该项目不仅将增加目前在民主化方面所做的工作，而且还将帮助我们回答一个更普遍的问题，即为什么民主在一些国家而不是在另一些国家得以生存。 该POWRE奖将使研究者有机会访问加州理工学院12个月。 这个访问教授将允许显着的专业成长。 她将利用加州理工学院在计量经济学和博弈论方面的全国性突出地位，花一年的时间重新学习先进的方法论技能。 除了重组，她将进行研究，并与加州理工学院的教师进行咨询，以科学地分析民主巩固。 这一经验将提高她的研究分析的复杂性，并可能导致她晋升为教授在得克萨斯州A M大学。 完成她的研究课题具有更广泛的适用性比她的工作，到目前为止，也将增加她的知名度作为一个政治科学家的学科全国。 %/ % ©/？你知道吗？ ¢║/¥╣/% │?什么？/你说的是什么？/% /你说的是什么？你知道吗？¥© /¥/% //¥/%

This project seeks to understand why democracy survives in `least likely cases` and why it sometimes fails in `most likely cases.` The end result of this project will be a more complete and scientifically grounded understanding of democratic consolidation and collapse. The explanation that it offers will be based on an explicit test of contending theories, including a reexamination of classic works in the field and attention to recent scholarship, as well as the application of econometrics and game-theoretic models. The empirical test of these theories will entail a comparative study of a number of cases selected on the basis of theoretical consideration and representing several geographical regions of the world. Thus the project will not only add to the current work being done in democratization, but also help us answer the more general question of why democracies survive in some countries but not others. This POWRE award will give the investigator the opportunity to visit California Institute of Technology for twelve months. This Visiting Professorship will allow for significant professional growth. She will take advantage of Caltech's national prominence in econometrics and game theory by spending the year retooling in advanced methodological skills. In addition to retooling, she will conduct research and consult with Caltech faculty to scientifically analyze democratic consolidation. This experience will enhance the analytic sophistication of her research and possibly lead to her promotion to Full Professor at Texas A&M University. The completion of her research on a topic with broader applicability than her work to date will also increase her visibility as a political scientist to the discipline nationally. %╣Á¢ /┤ ┴╣%% Á©/│Á ?┐╝ ┐┤Á╝¢¥/┤╣À ? ¢║/¥╣/% │?À╣¥╣? /┤ └╣¢┐/% /└╣À/¥╣? ╣ /ÀÁ¥¢ ▓?¥© /╝¥╣Â╣│╣/% /┤ /¥┐╝/%