SGER: Consideration of Uncertainty in Design

9900798本研究将解决决策中不确定性的适当量化问题，特别是在设计领域。缺乏对不确定性的量化评估导致产品设计和投资选择的不完整特征。重点将放在现实世界的应用上，包括能源相关和空间相关的产品示例。当工程师分析师不是最终决策者时，描述多属性（特别是包括风险）决策的数据库问题也将被检查。正确描述风险和不确定性的结果适用于决策的各个方面，包括产品设计。由此产生的应用驱动理论将是稳健的，并导致改进的决策。

9900798 This study will address the issue of proper quantification of uncertaintyin decision making--particularly in the area of design. This lack ofquantified assessments of uncertainty results in incompletecharacterization of product design and investment alternatives. Theemphasis will be on real-world applications including energy-related andspace-related product examples. The problem of databases for describingmulti-attribute (specifically including risk) decisions when the engineeror analyst is not the final decision maker will also be examined. The results of proper characterization of risk and uncertainty hasapplication to all aspects of decision making including product design. Theresulting applications-driven theory would be robust and lead to improveddecision making.