Methods and Models to Improve the Use of Integrated Assessments in Environmental Decision Making: A Case Study Using Air Pollution in Mexico City

拟议的研究将开发工具和方法，可广泛用于对美国和世界其他国家的复杂环境问题进行综合评估，特别适用于墨西哥城。该提案侧重于四个关键问题：（一）开发综合评估方法和工具，旨在利用现有的最佳数据和现有的共同和公认的模型，以产生与政策相关的结果;（二）开发将城市、区域和全球空气污染模型，特别是气溶胶模型结合起来的方法;（三）制定方法，将城市、区域和全球范围内能源、运输和工业部门的排放量估计与政策影响联系起来;以及（iv）发展影响分析方法，根据美国的综合数据，根据当地条件和人口统计数据，定制健康影响损害函数，用于政策分析。

The proposed research will develop tools and methodologies that can be broadly applied for conducting integrated assessments of complex environmental issues in the United States and in other countries around the world, with specific application to Mexico City. The proposal focuses on four critical issues: (i) development of integrated assessment methodologies and tools aimed at using the best available data and existing common and accepted models in order to produce policy-relevant results; (ii) development of methods to couple urban, regional, and global air pollution models, particularly for aerosols; (iii) development of methodologies to link emissions estimates and policy impacts in urban, regional and global contexts for energy, transportation, and industrial sectors; and (iv) development of impact analysis methodologies for tailoring health effects damage functions based on composite US data to local conditions and demographics for use in policy analysis.