U.S. - Korea Workshop: Dynamical Seasonal Prediction

题目：美韩研讨会：动态季节预测该奖项支持美国研究人员、初级科学家和研究生参加将于2010年初在韩国釜山举行的美韩动态季节预测研讨会（DSP）。共同组织者是位于弗吉尼亚州费尔法克斯的乔治梅森大学的Kyung Emilia J. Chin博士和位于韩国釜山的亚太经济合作气候中心（APCC）的Woo-Jin Lee博士。美国的几个中心和大学正在进行DSP的研究，韩国的APCC中心通过收集美国等8个国家15个机构的预测结果，制作实时操作的DSP。美国的一些科学家参加了由气候模拟和预测领域的13名世界级科学家组成的APCC科学咨询委员会。其他人则参加了APCC的各个工作组。然而，目前还没有提出通过美韩之间具体的国际合作活动来改进DSP的研究项目。拟议的讲习班将为科学家提供机会，审查每个国家的数字方案现状，并规划未来合作活动的现实路线图。研讨会将围绕以下四个主题组织：1)概述：DSP在美国和韩国的科学驱动和现状；2) DSP的改进策略；3)海陆空耦合气候系统的DSP系统评估、模拟实验和初始化预测策略；4)韩美合作研究项目。乔治梅森大学和亚太经济合作组织气候中心之间有足够的利益重叠，表明他们可以成功地开展拟议的活动，这种互动将使双方受益。讨论多模式集成技术的前沿技术和前景、海-气耦合模式的初始化以及改进耦合模式的思路，将有助于提高动力季节预报的有效利用。该讲习班将有助于向目前无法定期获得这种预测的许多国家传播数字预测方案的结果。通过让处于职业生涯早期阶段的青年科学家和学生参与，讲习班将为这些参与者提供一个机会，使他们能够建立有价值的国际网络，从而在今后几年继续加强他们的研究。将通过出版物和联合组织者的网站广泛传播讲习班的材料。

0855205ChinTitle: U.S.-Korea Workshop: Dynamical Seasonal PredictionThis award supports the participation of American researchers, junior scientists, and graduate students in a U.S. - Korea Workshop on Dynamical Seasonal Prediction (DSP) to be held in Busan, South Korea in early 2010. The co-organizers are Dr. Kyung Emilia J. Chin at George Mason University in Fairfax, Virginia and Dr. Woo-Jin Lee of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Climate Center (APCC) located in Busan, South Korea. Several centers and universities in the U.S. are conducting research on DSP and the APCC Center in Korea produces real-time operational DSP by collecting the forecast outputs from 15 institutions in 8 countries including the U.S. Several of the U.S. scientists participate in the APCC Science Advisory Committee consisting of 13 world-class scientists in the fields of climate modeling and prediction. Others participate in various APCC working groups. However, there is currently no proposed research project to improve the DSP through specific international collaborative activities between the U.S. and Korea. The proposed workshop will provide the scientists the opportunity to review the current status of DSP in each country and plan a realistic roadmap of future collaborative activities. The workshop will be organized around the following four themes: 1) Overview: scientific drivers and current status of DSP in U.S. and Korea; 2) Strategies for improvement of DSP; 3) Strategies for DSP system evaluation, modeling experiments, and initialization for prediction of the coupled ocean-land-atmosphere climate system; and 4) Collaborative research projects between the U.S. and Korea. There is sufficient overlap of interests between George Mason University and the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Climate Center to indicate that they can successfully pursue the activities proposed and that the interaction will benefit both sides. Discussions on the cutting-edge technologies and perspectives of Multi-Model ensemble techniques, initialization of coupled ocean-atmosphere models and ideas for improving coupled models will improve the beneficial use of dynamical seasonal prediction. The workshop will help spread the results of DSP to many countries that do not currently have access to such predictions on a routine basis. By involving junior scientists and students in early career stages, the workshop will provide an opportunity for these participants to build valuable international networks that can continue to enhance their research in subsequent years. Broad dissemination of the workshop's materials will be made available through publications and the co-organizers' websites.