Epidemics, mortality and longevity in Tasmania, 1838-1930

这个项目将调查那些只有使用历史人口统计数据才能探索的具有当代重要性的领域。国家利益包括：(1)更好地了解流行病如何在家庭和社区中传播，以及可能的死亡率和病死率，以协助为未来的流行病做好准备；(2)提高了澳大利亚和其他国家预测老年死亡率和人口老龄化的准确性；(3)根据女性的年龄、伴侣的年龄和生育次数等特征，更精确地估计女性自然怀孕和足月分娩的能力。该项目还将增加一个独特的公共可用数据集。

This project will investigate areas of contemporary importance that can only be explored using historic-demographic data. National benefits include (1) gaining a better understanding of how epidemics spread through families and communities, and possible mortality and case-fatality rates, to assist in preparation for future epidemics; (2) improved accuracy in projecting older-age mortality and population ageing in Australia and other countries; and (3) more precise estimates of women's capacity to naturally conceive and carry to term by characteristics such as her age, her partner's age, and her number of previous births. The project will also result in augmentation of a unique publicly available dataset.