SEES Fellows: Improved prediction of landfalling impacts of tropical cyclones - Applications for establishing more resilient electricity infrastructure systems

该项目得到了NSF科学，工程和教育可持续发展研究员（SEES研究员）计划的支持，其目标是帮助实现所需的发现，为导致环境，能源和社会可持续性的行动提供信息，同时创造必要的劳动力来应对这些挑战。可持续发展科学是一个新兴的领域，它解决了在不损害环境的情况下满足人类需求的挑战，并且不牺牲后代满足其需求的能力。一个强大的科学队伍需要在跨学科研究和思维方面受过教育和培训的个人，特别是在可持续发展科学领域。在SEES奖学金的支持下，该项目将使一个有前途的早期职业研究人员能够在与可持续发展相关的独立研究生涯中确立自己的地位。该项目应对的挑战是提高电力基础设施系统对登陆热带气旋引发的连锁灾害的复原力。其目标是支持更好地管理相关风险，并发展更具复原力的重要基础设施网络。该项目推进了飓风及其登陆影响的概率预测科学，开发了极端天气事件十年期预测的新方法，并开发了一个元网络系统框架，用于评估加强基础设施以应对级联飓风灾害的拟议战略与更广泛的复原力和可持续性战略的耦合成本/效益。该项目旨在通过与区域电力供应商和应急管理人员接触，减少热带气旋对电力系统基础设施的影响。这项研究的影响将有助于评估公共和私人投资在短期和长期举措中的成本效益，这些举措旨在加强关键基础设施和电网的弹性。

The project is supported under the NSF Science, Engineering and Education for Sustainability Fellows (SEES Fellows) program, with the goal of helping to enable discoveries needed to inform actions that lead to environmental, energy and societal sustainability while creating the necessary workforce to address these challenges. Sustainability science is an emerging field that addresses the challenges of meeting human needs without harm to the environment, and without sacrificing the ability of future generations to meet their needs. A strong scientific workforce requires individuals educated and trained in interdisciplinary research and thinking, especially in the area of sustainability science. With the SEES Fellowship support, this project will enable a promising early career researcher to establish himself in an independent research career related to sustainability. This project addresses the challenge of increasing the resilience of the electric power infrastructure system to cascading hazards triggered by land falling tropical cyclones. The objective is to support better management of the associated risks and the development of more resilient networks of critical infrastructures. This project advances the science of probabilistic prediction of hurricanes and their landfall impacts, develops a new methodology for decadal projections of extreme weather events, and develops a meta-networks system framework for assessing the coupled costs/benefits of proposed strategies for hardening infrastructure in response to cascading hurricane hazards in conjunction with broader strategies for resilience and sustainability. This project aims to reduce the impact of tropical cyclones on electricity system infrastructures through engagement with regional power providers and emergency managers. The impacts from this research will support evaluation of the cost effectiveness of public and private investments in both short- and long-term initiatives dedicated to strengthening critical infrastructure and electric grid resilience.