Collaborative Research: Modeling the Vulnerability of Mobile Home Parks to Disaster: A Longitudinal Study of Affordable Housing Loss After Hurricane Harvey

位于休斯顿地区不同地理、政治和人口地区的数百个移动的家庭公园在飓风哈维期间被洪水淹没。该项目采用地理空间、定性和定量研究方法相结合的方法，研究了这些公园的破坏情况，并跟踪了它们随时间的恢复情况。这项研究设计将确定不同的损害和恢复的原因，在公园。这一科学研究的贡献，从而支持NSF的使命，以促进科学的进步和提高我们的国家福利。在这种情况下，好处将是关于移动的家庭公园易受自然灾害影响的新知识和减轻风险的方法。该项目为不同群体的学生研究人员提供培训和指导，其研究结果将纳入研究生教育计划。该研究的方法，建模框架和主要结果将通过移动的家庭公园脆弱性评估指南提供给政策制定者和规划从业人员。这项研究将确定和分析影响灾后移动的家庭公园恢复的因素，由公园关闭，重建，住房损失和评估价值的变化定义。将建立一个地理空间数据库，分析所有经历洪水的休斯顿移动的家庭公园的暴露情况。它将填充从公园业主恢复调查的数据在一年和两年后哈维和空间，监管和社会人口信息的公园。访谈移动的家庭公园业主，居民领导和地方官员，并分析代码和计划将在15-20移动的家庭公园战略抽样研究人口。将使用定量建模技术在整个研究人群中测试代表公园恢复的因素的指标。结果将被解释和传播，以提供一个更好地了解在移动的家庭公园，一个关键的，但研究不足的组成部分，美国负担得起的住房supply.This奖项反映了NSF的法定使命，并已被认为是值得通过评估使用基金会的智力价值和更广泛的影响审查标准的支持。

Hundreds of mobile home parks located in diverse geographic, political, and demographic parts of the Houston area were flooded during Hurricane Harvey. This project examines the damage and tracks the recovery of those parks over time using a combination of geospatial, qualitative, and quantitative research methods. This research design will identify the reasons for differential damage and recovery across parks. This scientific research contribution thus supports NSF's mission to promote the progress of science and to advance our national welfare. In this case, the benefits will be new knowledge about the vulnerability of the mobile home parks to natural hazards and methods to mitigate risks. The project provides training and mentoring for a diverse group of student researchers, and its findings will be incorporated into graduate education programs. The study's methodology, modeling framework, and key findings will be made available to policy-makers and planning practitioners through a mobile home park vulnerability assessment guide. The study will identify and analyze factors that influence post-disaster mobile home park recovery, defined by park closure, rebuilding, housing loss, and change in assessed value. A geospatial database of all Houston mobile home parks that experienced flooding will be created to analyze exposure. It will be populated with data from a recovery survey of park owners at one and two years after Harvey and spatial, regulatory and socio-demographic information on parks. Interviews with mobile home park owners, resident leadership, and local officials, and analysis of codes and plans will be conducted in 15-20 mobile home parks strategically sampled from the study population. Indicators representing the factors that enable or impede park recovery will be tested across the study population using quantitative modeling techniques. Results will be interpreted and disseminated to provide a better understanding of vulnerability in mobile home parks, a critical though understudied component of the U.S. affordable housing supply.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.