Collaborative Research: RAPID--Multi-Scale Investigation into the Storm Processes of the 10 August 2020 Midwest Derecho
Collaborative Research: RAPID--Multi-Scale Investigation into the Storm Processes of the 10 August 2020 Midwest Derecho
批准号:
2054677
负责人:
Melissa Wagner
金额:
$3.45万
依托单位国家:
美国
项目类别:
Standard Grant
财政年份:
2020
资助国家:
美国
项目状态:
已结题
起止时间:
2020-11-01 至 2022-10-31
中文摘要
2020年8月10日,一场特别强烈的derecho造成了从内布拉斯加州东部到印第安纳州北部的大范围大风破坏,估计造成爱荷华州38亿美元的农业损失。由中尺度对流系统(mcs)产生的大回声或长寿命的风暴,仍然是一个重要的大气现象,需要了解,因为它们会产生大规模的风害区域,宽度从20 - 200公里到数百公里长不等。该合同将允许一个多学科科学团队(即大气科学家、遥感专家、风和结构工程师)在多个空间尺度上进行高分辨率数值模拟和详细的损害调查,以调查derechos中的风暴过程。将强风损害与风暴过程相关联的详细文件可以提供有关derechos极端风力产生和风暴损害潜力的重要信息,从而提高对强风暴过程、雷达解释和与公众警告相关的风险沟通的理解。2020年8月10日derecho的风暴特征和近地面风流将通过以下方式进行调查:1)使用最先进的数值模拟系统作为真实事件的代理,对该事件进行高分辨率模拟;2)将雷达特征与无人机系统(UAS)数据、卫星图像和地面真相调查的2D和3D分析提供的损害信息进行详细比较。将对最能描述derecho演变的模拟进行分析,以探索造成该事件独特物理特征的机制,这些特征导致了极端风的产生。破坏性大风在植被和农作物上的大规模特征容易受到长期损害,并且derecho的核心靠近爱荷华州的得梅因和达文波特国家气象局的雷达,这为更好地将损害信息与雷达采样的速度结构联系起来提供了独特的机会。本研究对风害的详细分析将为高分辨率数值模拟提供前所未有的验证数据集。这个异常全面的数据集将用于了解造成极端风力破坏的物理过程。此外,详细的损害记录还可用于在未来大风事件中校准基于卫星的评估,并可开发基于植被的额外损害描述符。该奖项反映了美国国家科学基金会的法定使命,并通过使用基金会的知识价值和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估,被认为值得支持。
英文摘要
On 10 August 2020, a particularly intense derecho produced widespread high-wind damage from eastern Nebraska through northern Indiana, resulting in 3.8 billion USD in estimated agricultural losses in Iowa. Derechos, or long-lived windstorms produced by mesoscale convective systems (MCSs), remain an important atmospheric phenomenon to understand because they produce large-scale wind damage areas, varying from 20 – 200 km in width to hundreds of kilometers long. This award will allow a multidisciplinary scientific team (i.e., atmospheric scientists, remote sensing experts, wind and structural engineers) to perform high-resolution numerical simulations and detailed damage surveys across multiple spatial scales to investigate storm processes in derechos. Relating detailed documentation of high-wind damage with storm processes can provide vital information on extreme wind production in derechos and storm damage potential, leading to improved understanding of severe-storm processes, radar interpretation, and risk communication associated with warnings to the general public.Storm characteristics and near-surface wind flow of 10 August 2020 derecho will be investigated through 1) high-resolution simulations of the event using a state-of-the-art numerical modeling system as a proxy for the real event, and 2) detailed comparisons of radar signatures to damage information provided by 2D and 3D analyses of unpiloted aerial systems (UAS) data, satellite imagery, and ground truth surveys. Simulations that best depict the evolution of the derecho will be analyzed to explore the mechanisms responsible for the unique physical characteristics of this event that were responsible for the extreme wind production. The large-scale character of the damaging winds over vegetation and crops susceptible to long-term damage and passage of the derecho’s core close to Des Moines and Davenport National Weather Service radars in Iowa provide a unique opportunity to better connect damage information to velocity structures sampled by radar. The detailed analysis of wind damage produced in this study will provide an unprecedented validation dataset for the high-resolution numerical simulations. This unusually comprehensive dataset will be used to understand the physical processes responsible for extreme wind damage. Additionally, detailed damage documentation can also be used to calibrate satellite-based assessments in future high-wind events and could enable the development of additional damage descriptors based to vegetation.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.
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