The Voting Behavior of Germans with an Immigrant Background: The First Election Study of Immigrants at the General Election of 2017

拟议项目旨在2017年德国联邦选举背景下，在有移民背景的德国人中开展第一次德国选举研究。因此，它只关注那些自己移民到德国或父母中至少有一方是移民的德国选民。虽然这一定义涵盖了876万人，但由于缺乏高质量的数据，缺乏分析这一群体投票行为（投票率和投票选择）的研究。在理论方面，有一些模型可以解释移民选民的投票率，但几乎没有模型可以解释他们的投票选择。对移徙人口的政治融合进行科学研究具有重大的社会和政治意义。对于选举研究，具有移民背景的选民提供了一个理论上有趣的群体，因为他们的政治社会化在许多方面不同于本地人口的经验。是否建立选举研究的理论也可以解释移民背景的选民的投票行为，或者这是否主要是由移民的具体特征决定的，因此是拟议项目的中心研究目标。在方法上，我们打算在2017年德国联邦选举的背景下对两个移民群体进行选举后调查。与德国选举调查（如德国纵向选举研究（GLES））不同，我们只对有移民背景的投票年龄人口进行抽样，以获得强大的统计分析所需的一些案例。所采用的抽样程序采用基于人口登记册和专名法的分层随机抽样。我们的目标是调查德国两个最大的移民群体（土耳其血统的德国公民[约130万人]和拥有德国公民身份的讲俄语的后期定居者[约240万人]）的500名受访者，总样本量为1000人。多语种问卷的详细措辞仍在制定中，但将包括两组项目。首先，它由选举研究中成熟的调查项目组成，这些项目应与GLES调查中使用的项目相似，以确保与本地选民群体的可比性。第二，它包括一些项目，这些项目反映了一般就业统计所没有要求的移徙者特有的几个特征（例如公民身份类型、参加族裔组织和族裔身份）。

The proposed project aims to carry out the first German election study among Germans with a migration background in the context of the German Federal Election of 2017. It therefore focuses exclusively on German voters who either migrated to Germany themselves or who have at least one migrant parent. While this definition covers 8.76 Mio people, there is a lack of research analyzing this group's voting behavior (turnout and vote choice) mainly due to the lack of high-quality data. On the theoretical side, there are some models to explain the turnout of immigrant voters but nearly none for explaining their vote choice. The scientific study of the political integration of migrant populations is of substantial social and political relevance. For electoral research, voters with migrant background provide a theoretically interesting group, since their political socialization differs from the experiences of the native population in many ways. Whether established theories of electoral research can also explain the voting behavior of voters with migrant background, or whether this is determined predominantly by migrant-specific characteristics, therefore is the central research objective of the proposed project. Methodologically, we intend to conduct a post-election-survey for two immigrant groups in the context of the German Federal Election of 2017. In contrast to established German election surveys - such as the German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES) - we will only sample the voting age population with a migrant background to reach a number of cases necessary for powerful statistical analyses. The applied sampling procedure uses a stratified random sampling based on the population register and onomastic methods. Surveying 500 respondents for each of the two largest immigrant groups in Germany (German citizens of Turkish descent [about 1.3 million people] and Russian-speaking Late Resettlers with German citizenship [about 2.4 million people]) is our objective, resulting in a total sample size of 1.000. The detailed wording of multi-lingual available questionnaire is still in development but will consist of two groups of items. First, it consists of survey items well-established in electoral research that should resemble the items used in the GLES-survey to ensure comparability with the group of native voters. Second, it consists of items that capture several migrant-specific characteristics (e.g. type of citizenship, membership in ethnic organizations and ethnic identity) that are not asked for in the GLES.