Variation of precipitation and flood dynamics in Central Europe during the Holocene on the basis of dendrochronological and documentary data (HOLOFLOOD)

该研究计划将通过分析过去1万年的气候异常来确定气候动力学。这将通过结合两个独特的气候档案（追溯到公元1000年的文献数据，追溯到10000年前的树木年代学数据）来完成。用这种方法可以在长时间尺度上研究气候动力学。关键气候参数的时间序列将通过应用传递函数来模拟。模拟结果可以重建导致极端洪水和降水异常的气候动力学过程。气候变率的确定使我们有可能区分造成气候突然变化的人为驱动力和自然驱动力，并将有助于了解未来的气候变化。

The research proposal will determine climate dynamics due to analysis of climate anomalies during the last 10.000 years. This will be done by combining two unique climate archives (documentary data back to 1.000 AD, dendrochronological data back 10.000 BP). With this approach the climate dynamics can be studied on a long time scale. Time series for key climatic parameters will be modelled by applying a transfer function. The modelled results allow a reconstruction of climate dynamic processes which led to extreme floods and precipitation anomalies. The determination of climate variability enables the possibility to differentiate between human and natural driving forces of sudden climate changes and will help to understand future climate changes.