Towards Blue Urbanism for Sea Level Change Adaptation: Global Trajectories and Speculative Futuring in Island Southeast Asia (BlueUrban)

海平面上升（SLR）通常是在风险和脆弱性的背景下，特别是在东南亚群岛。城市海岸线和其他基础设施项目的“装甲化”要求以保护生活免受上升的沃茨、地面沉降和其他社会生态影响的名义进行巨大的资本投资。然而，与此同时，世界各地的高价值真实的地产和沿海私有化进程反映了一个不同的、对立的现实，即拥抱各种截然不同的沿海未来。拟议的项目“面向海平面变化适应的蓝色城市主义”通过分析以风险为中心和以机会为驱动的海平面变化适应的范例和解决方案及其轨迹和翻译来探讨这一看似矛盾的问题。在实证研究的基础上，我们在全球范围内追踪了两组新兴实践的形成和论述，这两组实践正在获得越来越多的政策牵引力：多功能的“超级堤防”，以及浮动房屋结构和人工岛的技术。通过跟踪这些不同的保护和土地-水解决方案，从创新和流通的网站，到实施新加坡，雅加达和大马尼拉三个特大城市的实践项目，我们分析了话语空间，话语载体和认知渠道，通过这些渠道，变化适应成为21世纪新的利润边界，促进新形式的“蓝色城市主义”。在一个更抽象的层面上，该项目推进了对沿海“投机性未来”变化适应的微观政治和全球认知流动性的初步研究。

Sea level rise (SLR) is usually framed within contexts of risk and vulnerability, particularly across archipelagic Southeast Asia. The 'armoring' of urban shorelines and other infrastructural projects call for immense capital investment in the name of protected living against rising waters, land subsidence, and a host of other socio-ecological impacts. In parallel however, high value real estate and coastal privatization processes around the world reflect a different, antithetical reality in embracing vastly divergent kinds of coastal futures. The proposed project "Towards Blue Urbanism for Sea Level Change Adaptation" explores this seeming paradox by analyzing risk-centered and opportunity driven paradigms and solutions for sea level change adaptation and their trajectories and translations. In empirically grounding the study, we globally trace formations and discursive contestations around two emerging sets of practices that are gaining increasing policy traction: multifunctional "superdikes", as well as technologies of floating housing structures and artificial islands. By following these diverse protective and terra-aqueous solutions from sites of innovation and circulation, to projects that implement the practices in the three megacities of Singapore, Jakarta and Metro Manila we analyze the discursive spaces, the discourse carriers, and the epistemic channels by which change adaptation is rendered as a new profit frontier in the 21st century, promoting new forms of "blue urbanism". On a more abstract level, the project advances nascent research on the micro-politics and global epistemic mobilities of coastal “speculative futuring” for change adaptation.