Simulating past and future responses of the terrestrial system to greenhouse gas forcing and regional anthropogenic interventions (D02)

该项目检验了化学品审查委员会的核心假设，即人类对陆地系统的干预可能导致地表/次地表-大气系统的耦合水和能量循环发生持久的、可能不可持续的变化。该假设是通过执行免费的，区域模拟的陆地系统，从地下水到大气层的顶部下，考虑到水和能量平衡的限制，在欧洲大陆和邻近的海洋。精心设计的模拟实验层次将有助于在自然变异和温室气体强迫的背景下确定和详细绘制人为影响。

This project tests the CRC’s central hypothesis that anthropogenic interventions in the terrestrial systems can lead to persistent, potentially unsustainable changes in the coupled water and energy cycles of the surface/sub-surface-atmospheric system. The hypothesis is evaluated by performing free, regional simulations of the terrestrial system from groundwater to the top of the atmosphere under consideration of water and energy balance constraints over the European continent and the adjacent ocean. A carefully designed hierarchy of simulation experiments will facilitate identification and detailed mapping of the anthropogenic impact against the background of natural variability and greenhouse gas forcing.