The Distributional Impact of Health Outlays: Developing the Research and Modelling Infrastructure for Policy Makers

英联邦最近得出结论，预计未来几十年卫生支出的增长是负担不起的。因此，政策制定者将面临艰难的抉择，涉及医疗资金、政府和消费者对医疗成本的贡献之间的平衡，以及税收(为公共医疗支出提供资金)。他们目前没有足够的建模工具来帮助他们做出正确的决定。该项目旨在通过建立一个卫生部门的微观模拟模型来纠正这种情况，该模型有能力评估可能的政策变化可能产生的分配影响及其收入或支出影响。

The Commonwealth recently concluded that the projected increase in health outlays over the next few decades is unaffordable. Policy makers are therefore going to face difficult decisions about health funding, the balance between government and consumer contributions to health costs, and about taxes (which fund public health outlays). They do not currently have adequate modelling tools to help them make sound decisions. This project aims to redress this situation, by constructing a microsimulation model of the health sector, with a capacity to assess the likely distributional impact of possible policy changes and their revenue or expenditure implications.