The Great Barrier Reef in 2100

我们的研究旨在回答有关珊瑚礁未来的基本地貌问题，重点是大堡礁（GBR）。我们将开发尖端的、完全开源的数值模型，以量化IPCC气候变化情景下GBR的生态形态动力学演变。我们的地貌数值模型将考虑生物/非生物反馈，包括多个压力源，如波，温度，酸化和沉积物运输的协同效应，在个别珊瑚礁尺度。我们将模拟GBR生态系统服务的未来，使地貌知识和珊瑚礁生态系统的理解发生飞跃。预期成果包括为GBR的未来管理提供一个改变游戏规则的工具。

Our research aims to answer fundamental geomorphic questions about the future of coral reefs, focusing on the Great Barrier Reef (GBR). We will develop cutting-edge, fully open-source numerical models to quantify the eco-morphodynamic evolution of the GBR under IPCC climate-change scenarios. Our geomorphic numerical models will consider biotic/abiotic feedbacks including synergistic effects of multiple stressors such as waves, temperature, acidification and sediment transport, at individual reef scales. We will model the future of the GBR’s ecosystem-services, allowing for a quantum leap in the geomorphic knowledge and understanding of coral reef ecosystems. Expected outcomes include a gamechanger tool for future management of the GBR.