Construction and Efficient Operational Method of Solar-heat/Electricity Hot-Water Supply System Using the Insolation Forcast based on Weather Information

在模拟预报误差不超过30%的情况下，日晒预报的效果得到了明显的体现，表明通过估算尖端日晒在数天内越来越经济的运行是可能的。同时，对1999年5月以来我院的全球日晒、斜面日晒、气温、风向、风速进行了测量。日照量虽不逊于太平洋侧，但在冬季变得相当低。特别是在1999会计年度，舞津海洋气象台历史上第一次下了雪，用风扇掩埋了日冕仪。从气象厅过去的气象资料中，以舞津和4 ~ 10月（6月除外）的天气为基础，推算出全球气温的误差率，将其放置在10 ~ 15%的位置上，而在月球上，除6月外，其误差率在15 ~ 20%的范围内。将该技术应用于从电视文本中获取的天气预报中，并进行了日晒预报。结果表明，除冬春两季预报“晴”外，天气预报对日照的预报误差均在30%以下，概率均在70%以上。在太阳能-热/电热水供应系统中，通过对市场集热器和市场午夜动力热水供应系统组合的研究，证明了将热水储罐作为一个整体的组合是适合本研究的，并重新设计并安装在校园中。由于对集热器、热水储罐、管道等安装了传感器并测量了温度，收集的热量特性和热辐射损失在稳定天气中变得清晰。对系统的工作情况进行了记录，并进行了参数的确定。进行了基于午夜电力日照预报数值供热的试验与运行。此资料证实了日晒预报的效果。并且，由于该系统安装在该学校武术馆淋浴房，将使该系统发展为实际热水供应负荷的实验。少

The effect by the insolation forecast appeared, if they are forecasting errors 30% or less by the simulation, and it became clear that the more and more economical operation by estimating the insolation in the tip in a few days, was possible. In the meantime, global insolation, insolaion on inclined surface, temperature, wind direction and wind velocity were measured at our college since May, 1999. Though insolation was the quantity which was not inferior to the Pacific Ocean side region, it became a considerably low value in the winter. Especially, it became that it became a snowfall for the first time for the Maizuru marine meteorological observatory historically in the 1999 fiscal year and buries the pyrheliometer with the fan. It was placed from Meteorological Agency meteorological data in a past within 10〜15% in place in search of the estimated error rate of the global inslation based on the weather in Maizuru and April〜October except for June, and in the moon except for it, it ba … More came 15〜20% range. It was applied to the weather forecast which obtained this technique from the teletext, and the insolation forecast was carried out. Except for the forecast of "fine" in winter and spring, the result showed that insolation forecast by the weather forecast achieved prediction errors 30% or less at the probability over 70%.In solar-heat/electricity hot-water supply system, as a result of examining the combination between marketing collector and marketing midnight power hot-water supply system it was proven that the composition which made hot water storage tank to be one was adequate for this study, and this was newly designed, and it installed it in the campus. As the result that it installed the sensor for collectors, hot water storage tanks, piping, etc. and measured the temperature, collection of heat characteristics and heat radiation loss in stabilizing the weather became clear. Like the above, record of the work situation of the system and decision of the parameter were carried out. The test and operation for the heating based on insolation forecasting value by the midnight power was carried out. The effects of the insolation forecast were confirmed from this data. And, this system will be made to develop into the experiment for actual hot-water supply load, since it was installed in this school martial art gym shower room. Less